Premier League · Sat, Sep 12, 17:30 · Final: 0–0
Tottenham's attacking crisis is the defining factor here: ten first-team absences including Kulusevski, Maddison, Richarlison, Kudus, Sarr and Simons, with a form line of W0 D1 L2 and zero goals scored in three matches. Everton arrive unbeaten in three (W1 D2 L0, GF:5 GA:3) with only three absentees, and the fatigue indices are identical at 6.4/10, so the visitors hold the squad-depth edge. The market prices Tottenham at 1.95–2.06 across all books with no movement in 48 hours, which looks generous given the H2H record (Spurs W6 D3 L1) but ignores that the last two meetings were decided by single goals and Everton's current resilience. The data does not support a strong view on the outright result — Tottenham's home advantage and historical dominance are real, but the squad depletion is severe enough to compress the true gap, and the market has priced this efficiently.