Home

About OddsIQ

OddsIQ is a UK-built tool that applies honest statistical modelling to football. It's the answer to a simple frustration: every tipster site claims to have the edge, but none of them show their work.

Why we built this

Football prediction has been a shady industry for decades. Buy our picks, we beat the bookies, our AI is unstoppable. Behind most of these sites is a screenshot of yesterday's winning tip and a boldly inflated strike rate.

We wanted to do the opposite.

Every prediction we publish is backed by a model we can explain. Every model we run gets logged and calibrated against actual outcomes. Every time we're wrong, we say so.

What we do

Right now, OddsIQ covers:

  • Premier League — live signals for every matchday, plus AI-ranked highest-edge matches
  • World Cup 2026 — 50,000 daily simulations of the full tournament, from group stage to final
  • Predict-the-Winner game — free prediction competition where you pick your tournament champion and play bracket pick'em alongside the AI

More leagues, tournaments, and tools are on the roadmap. The common thread: transparent methodology, calibrated forecasts, and zero tolerance for "trust us, we're experts" marketing.

Our principles

  1. Show the math. Every model we use has a public methodology page. Every prediction has a confidence level. Every confidence level gets validated against outcomes.

  2. Publish the losses. Calibration charts are the honest scoreboard. We publish ours. They include the ranges where we've been over-confident.

  3. Never promise certainty. A 70% prediction is wrong 30% of the time. We say so on every surface. If you want guaranteed winners, this isn't your tool.

  4. Responsible gambling first. Every page carries 18+, BeGambleAware, and GamCare links. If betting stops being fun, the help is free and immediate.

  5. No paid shoutouts, no affiliate tricks. We don't accept payment to promote bookmakers. If we recommend a tool or a read, it's because we genuinely rate it.

Who built this

OddsIQ is built and run from the UK by a solo developer with a background in software engineering and a frustration with the state of online football prediction. The core stack (FastAPI + Next.js + Supabase + Postgres, deployed on Oracle Cloud and Vercel) is deliberately lean — it has to be, for a one-person team.

What isn't lean is the model work itself. The Dixon-Coles Poisson + Elo foundation is standard peer-reviewed territory in sports statistics, but the tuning, the confederation adjustments, the recent-form weighting, and the calibration loop are all iterated weekly.

Get in touch

We read every email. Response is usually within 48 hours.

What's next

  • June 11, 2026: World Cup 2026 kickoff. All prediction games go live.
  • July 19, 2026: World Cup final. Leaderboard freezes, champion bonuses awarded.
  • Post-tournament: Premier League 2026/27 with improved live updates, then Euro 2028 model prep.

Thanks for being here. Play responsibly. Enjoy the football.