OddsIQ runs 50,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the entire tournament every day. The model combines Elo ratings, recent international form, and a Dixon-Coles Poisson scoring model to rank every team’s chance of lifting the trophy.
Pick the team you think will win. Your pick locks at the current model probability, then gets compared to the actual tournament outcome. Free to play, no payment, no advertising — change your pick any time before the opening match.
The grid below ranks all 48 qualified teams by current championship probability. Probabilities update daily as new international results feed back into the model.
Lock in by the first kick-off — after kickoff, all picks freeze.