OddsIQ.ai

AI football intelligence.

50,000 daily simulations. Honest probabilities. Published track record. Built in the UK.

See today’s signalsHow it works
73 picks settled-8.4% 30-day ROI

Today’s signals.

Live AI analysis on every Premier League fixture. Updated every 30 minutes.

No live signals right now
The model publishes signals as fixtures approach.
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We publish what we get wrong.

Every prediction is logged. Every confidence level is calibrated against the actual outcome.

73
Picks settled
45.9%
30-day win rate
-8.4%
30-day ROI

How it works

Elo ratings, recent form, Dixon-Coles Poisson, and the bracket draw — combined into one probability per outcome.

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What we get wrong

Calibration charts show the buckets where the model has been over- or under-confident. We publish them whether they flatter us or not.

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Every pick logged

Every recommendation is settled and timestamped. Win rate, ROI, and per-market breakdowns are all in the public log.

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First match kicks off in
June 2026

World Cup 2026 — pick your champion.

50,000 simulations a day across 48 teams and 104 matches. Lock your champion pick. Compare your picks against the model.

Open World Cup 2026

Recent writing.

Five Teams the Betting Market Overrates for World Cup 2026

Bookmaker odds aren't just probabilities — they're probabilities plus a margin plus the weight of public money. Here are five teams the market currently overrates compared to our model.

April 26, 2026 · 9 min read

Five Teams the Betting Market Underrates for World Cup 2026

If we're calling out overpriced teams, we owe you the matched pair. Here are five teams our model rates higher than current bookmaker odds — and why.

April 26, 2026 · 9 min read

How to Read a Calibration Chart (And Why It's the Honest Way to Judge a Forecaster)

Calibration charts tell you whether a forecaster's predictions actually mean what they say. Here's how to read one, what good and bad look like, and why almost no betting tipster will show you theirs.

April 26, 2026 · 8 min read
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