Premier League · Sat, Sep 12, 15:00 · Final: 0–0
Liverpool's eight first-team absences — including Gakpo, Chiesa, Elliott, Gomez and Ekitike — strip the squad of attacking rotation and defensive cover, yet the market prices the home side at 1.44–1.53 across all 20 bookmakers with no movement in 48 hours. Fulham arrive on a three-match losing run (W0 D0 L3, GF4 GA7) and have conceded in each of their last five meetings with Liverpool, who remain unbeaten in three (W1 D2) despite the depleted bench. Both sides carry identical fatigue scores of 6.4/10 from three matches in the last 21 days, so the fixture congestion argument cancels out. The data favours the home side on form, H2H (W5 D4 L1 in last 10) and squad quality, though the market has priced this efficiently — no edge here.