🇦🇷Argentina
Argentina World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
6.9%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
99.0%
Reach Group stage
33.4%
Reach Round of 16
17.8%
Reach Quarter-final
12.8%
Reach Semi-final
6.9%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Argentina 6.9% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Argentina is **6.9%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2234**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **8 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
Read more