🇦🇺Australia
Australia World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
0.1%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
50.6%
Reach Group stage
7.0%
Reach Round of 16
2.8%
Reach Quarter-final
0.5%
Reach Semi-final
0.1%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Australia 0.1% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Australia is **0.1%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **1958**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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