← World Cup 2026
🇧🇪Belgium

Belgium World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
1.4%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

97.5%
Reach Group stage
19.2%
Reach Round of 16
8.7%
Reach Quarter-final
4.0%
Reach Semi-final
1.4%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Belgium 1.4% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Belgium is **1.4%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1983**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **6 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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