🇧🇷Brazil
Brazil World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
11.9%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
98.6%
Reach Group stage
59.7%
Reach Round of 16
44.2%
Reach Quarter-final
23.4%
Reach Semi-final
11.9%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Brazil 11.9% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Brazil is **11.9%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2099**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **5 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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