World Cup 2026 — Group C.

Each team plays the other three in the group stage. The top two from each group qualify directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all twelve groups also advance, making 32 teams in the knockout round. Probabilities are derived from 50,000 daily Monte Carlo simulations.

Qualification probabilities.

🇧🇷Brazil

98.6%qualify75.5%1st23.1%2nd

🇲🇦Morocco

85.9%qualify18.4%1st67.5%2nd

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland

53.0%qualify4.4%1st48.5%2nd

🇭🇹Haiti

27.5%qualify1.7%1st25.8%2nd

Read more

How the model works →Pick a champion →Knockout bracket →