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World Cup 2026 β€” Group C.

Each team plays the other three in the group stage. The top two from each group qualify directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all twelve groups also advance, making 32 teams in the knockout round. Probabilities are derived from 50,000 daily Monte Carlo simulations.

Qualification probabilities.

πŸ‡§πŸ‡·Brazil
89.0%qualify59.2%1st29.8%2nd
πŸ‡²πŸ‡¦Morocco
53.7%qualify14.1%1st39.6%2nd
🏴󠁧󠁒󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland
23.3%qualify3.5%1st19.8%2nd
πŸ‡­πŸ‡ΉHaiti
10.5%qualify1.1%1st9.4%2nd
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How the model works β†’Pick a champion β†’Knockout bracket β†’