← World Cup 2026
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland

Scotland World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.1%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

23.3%
Reach Group stage
4.1%
Reach Round of 16
1.7%
Reach Quarter-final
0.4%
Reach Semi-final
0.1%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Scotland 0.1% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Scotland is **0.1%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1877**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **5 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
Read more
Group CHow the model works →Pick a champion →