🇨🇦Canada
Canada World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
0.6%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
39.0%
Reach Group stage
9.9%
Reach Round of 16
4.6%
Reach Quarter-final
1.6%
Reach Semi-final
0.6%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Canada 0.6% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Canada is **0.6%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **1950**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **4 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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