🇨🇦Canada
Canada World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
0.5%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
86.6%
Reach Group stage
21.6%
Reach Round of 16
8.0%
Reach Quarter-final
2.0%
Reach Semi-final
0.5%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Canada 0.5% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Canada is **0.5%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **1950**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **4 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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