World Cup 2026 — Group B.

Each team plays the other three in the group stage. The top two from each group qualify directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all twelve groups also advance, making 32 teams in the knockout round. Probabilities are derived from 50,000 daily Monte Carlo simulations.

Qualification probabilities.

🇨🇭Switzerland

56.5%qualify22.8%1st33.8%2nd

🇨🇦Canada

39.0%qualify11.8%1st27.2%2nd

🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina

20.4%qualify4.7%1st15.7%2nd

🇶🇦Qatar

5.9%qualify0.9%1st5.0%2nd

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How the model works →Pick a champion →Knockout bracket →