World Cup 2026 — Group B.

Each team plays the other three in the group stage. The top two from each group qualify directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all twelve groups also advance, making 32 teams in the knockout round. Probabilities are derived from 50,000 daily Monte Carlo simulations.

Qualification probabilities.

🇨🇭Switzerland

94.8%qualify55.0%1st39.8%2nd

🇨🇦Canada

86.9%qualify30.4%1st56.5%2nd

🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina

65.1%qualify12.0%1st53.1%2nd

🇶🇦Qatar

26.4%qualify2.6%1st23.8%2nd

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How the model works →Pick a champion →Knockout bracket →