World Cup 2026 — Group B.

Each team plays the other three in the group stage. The top two from each group qualify directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all twelve groups also advance, making 32 teams in the knockout round. Probabilities are derived from 50,000 daily Monte Carlo simulations.

Qualification probabilities.

🇨🇭Switzerland

94.7%qualify55.1%1st39.5%2nd

🇨🇦Canada

86.4%qualify30.2%1st56.2%2nd

🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina

65.6%qualify12.0%1st53.6%2nd

🇶🇦Qatar

26.9%qualify2.6%1st24.3%2nd

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How the model works →Pick a champion →Knockout bracket →