← World Cup 2026
🇶🇦Qatar

Qatar World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

5.9%
Reach Group stage
0.5%
Reach Round of 16
0.1%
Reach Quarter-final
0.0%
Reach Semi-final
0.0%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Qatar 0.0% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Qatar is **0.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1574**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **1 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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Group BHow the model works →Pick a champion →