← World Cup 2026
🇨🇴Colombia

Colombia World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
2.1%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

96.1%
Reach Group stage
22.1%
Reach Round of 16
8.9%
Reach Quarter-final
4.8%
Reach Semi-final
2.1%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Colombia 2.1% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Colombia is **2.1%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **2094**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **5 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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