← World Cup 2026
🇨🇴Colombia

Colombia World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
2.9%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

87.0%
Reach Group stage
23.2%
Reach Round of 16
10.8%
Reach Quarter-final
5.9%
Reach Semi-final
2.9%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Colombia 2.9% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Colombia is **2.9%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **2094**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **5 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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