🇪🇨Ecuador
Ecuador World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
1.9%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
81.2%
Reach Group stage
20.3%
Reach Round of 16
9.3%
Reach Quarter-final
4.3%
Reach Semi-final
1.9%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Ecuador 1.9% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Ecuador is **1.9%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2106**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **2 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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