🇩🇪Germany
Germany World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
7.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
94.1%
Reach Group stage
40.3%
Reach Round of 16
22.4%
Reach Quarter-final
13.2%
Reach Semi-final
7.0%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Germany 7.0% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Germany is **7.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2063**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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