← World Cup 2026
🇮🇷Iran

Iran World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.1%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

68.2%
Reach Group stage
6.2%
Reach Round of 16
2.1%
Reach Quarter-final
0.3%
Reach Semi-final
0.1%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Iran 0.1% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Iran is **0.1%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1911**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **4 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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