🇮🇷Iran
Iran World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
0.2%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
62.0%
Reach Group stage
6.7%
Reach Round of 16
2.4%
Reach Quarter-final
0.7%
Reach Semi-final
0.2%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Iran 0.2% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Iran is **0.2%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **1911**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **4 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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