🇲🇽Mexico
Mexico World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
2.1%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
94.4%
Reach Group stage
40.6%
Reach Round of 16
18.6%
Reach Quarter-final
6.3%
Reach Semi-final
2.1%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Mexico 2.1% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Mexico is **2.1%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2002**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **3 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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