🇲🇽Mexico
Mexico World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
2.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
56.5%
Reach Group stage
19.7%
Reach Round of 16
10.6%
Reach Quarter-final
4.4%
Reach Semi-final
2.0%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Mexico 2.0% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Mexico is **2.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2002**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **3 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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