🇳🇱Netherlands
Netherlands World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
3.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
96.3%
Reach Group stage
30.9%
Reach Round of 16
14.6%
Reach Quarter-final
7.3%
Reach Semi-final
3.0%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Netherlands 3.0% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Netherlands is **3.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2087**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
Read more