← World Cup 2026
🇳🇱Netherlands

Netherlands World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
3.6%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

88.3%
Reach Group stage
28.4%
Reach Round of 16
14.4%
Reach Quarter-final
7.5%
Reach Semi-final
3.6%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Netherlands 3.6% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Netherlands is **3.6%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **2087**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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