← World Cup 2026
🇳🇿New Zealand

New Zealand World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

38.7%
Reach Group stage
2.7%
Reach Round of 16
0.8%
Reach Quarter-final
0.2%
Reach Semi-final
0.0%
Reach Final

Why the model gives New Zealand 0.0% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for New Zealand is **0.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1748**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **2 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
Read more
Group GHow the model works →Pick a champion →