← World Cup 2026
🇳🇴Norway

Norway World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.4%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

71.3%
Reach Group stage
12.2%
Reach Round of 16
5.7%
Reach Quarter-final
1.4%
Reach Semi-final
0.4%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Norway 0.4% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Norway is **0.4%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **2062**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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Group IHow the model works →Pick a champion →