← World Cup 2026
🇳🇴Norway

Norway World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.7%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

61.5%
Reach Group stage
10.5%
Reach Round of 16
4.6%
Reach Quarter-final
1.9%
Reach Semi-final
0.7%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Norway 0.7% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Norway is **0.7%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **2062**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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Group IHow the model works →Pick a champion →