← World Cup 2026
🏳️Obsidianmark

Obsidianmark World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.2%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

32.4%
Reach Group stage
5.5%
Reach Round of 16
2.4%
Reach Quarter-final
0.7%
Reach Semi-final
0.2%
Reach Final
Insights updating…
Read more
Group DHow the model works →Pick a champion →