← World Cup 2026
🇸🇳Senegal

Senegal World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.4%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

73.0%
Reach Group stage
12.5%
Reach Round of 16
5.9%
Reach Quarter-final
1.5%
Reach Semi-final
0.4%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Senegal 0.4% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Senegal is **0.4%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1999**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **8 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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