← World Cup 2026
🇿🇦South Africa

South Africa World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
0.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

10.3%
Reach Group stage
1.4%
Reach Round of 16
0.5%
Reach Quarter-final
0.1%
Reach Semi-final
0.0%
Reach Final

Why the model gives South Africa 0.0% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for South Africa is **0.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **1663**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **4 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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