🇪🇸Spain
Spain World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
17.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
99.3%
Reach Group stage
63.3%
Reach Round of 16
42.2%
Reach Quarter-final
29.2%
Reach Semi-final
17.0%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Spain 17.0% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Spain is **17.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **2359**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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