🇸🇪Sweden
Sweden World Cup 2026 chances.
Probability of winning the tournament
0.4%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.
Path to the trophy.
57.9%
Reach Group stage
9.3%
Reach Round of 16
3.7%
Reach Quarter-final
1.2%
Reach Semi-final
0.4%
Reach Final
Why the model gives Sweden 0.4% to win.
- The model's current championship probability for Sweden is **0.4%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
- Elo rating sits at **1826**, updated after every international.
- Recent form: **4 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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