← World Cup 2026
🇹🇷Turkey

Turkey World Cup 2026 chances.

Probability of winning the tournament
1.0%
Per 50,000 daily simulations. Updated every 24 hours.

Path to the trophy.

55.8%
Reach Group stage
13.2%
Reach Round of 16
6.6%
Reach Quarter-final
2.6%
Reach Semi-final
1.0%
Reach Final

Why the model gives Turkey 1.0% to win.

  • The model's current championship probability for Turkey is **1.0%**, reflecting full-tournament simulation.
  • Elo rating sits at **2068**, updated after every international.
  • Recent form: **7 wins** in the last **10** internationals.
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Group DHow the model works →Pick a champion →